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SUBURB DETAIL — HOUSES ONLY

Muswellbrook

NSWTIER 3EMERGINGNear-PositiveStarting⏱ GRACE WINDOW
SCORE
63/100
POLICY
▲ UPGRADED
Market Metrics
Gross Yield
5.2%
Rent Growth
+5.5%
Price Growth
+14.4%
Vacancy
1.2%
Median Price
$575k
Weekly Rent
$575
Population
14k
Income Level
Med
NG Dependence
Low
Rank
#17
Cashflow — 80% LVR @ 6.5% (indicative)
Annual Rent
$29,900
Annual Interest
$29,900
Net Pre-Costs
+$0
NG Needed?
Minimal
Rent Projection at 5.5% annual growth
YEARWEEKLY RENTANNUAL RENTVS INTERESTCF STATUS
Now$575/wk$29,900+$0POSITIVE
Year 1$607/wk$31,545+$1,645POSITIVE
Year 2$640/wk$33,279+$3,379POSITIVE
Year 3$675/wk$35,110+$5,210POSITIVE
Year 4$712/wk$37,041+$7,141POSITIVE
Investment Signal

5.2% house yield in Upper Hunter — borderline threshold but included for coal transition catalyst. Hunter Valley repowering investments replacing coal employment. +96.4% five-year momentum.

Risk / Warning

Price already +14.4% — cycle has started, not early. Yield at 5.2% is below 5.5% threshold. Coal industry wind-down risk over 5-10yr horizon.

Budget Policy Impact

Near-positive CF at 5.2%. Budget changes mildly positive — low NG dependence. CGT indexation acceptable for 8-10yr hold. No specific budget line item accelerates Muswellbrook employment.

Economic Catalysts
Upper Hunter coal mining (BHP Appin, Peabody)Energy transition / repowering investmentHunter Valley agricultural hub
Score Breakdown — 63/100
Yield (0–25)
+18
Rent Growth (0–15)
+10
Price Lag (0–20)
+10
Supply (0–15)
+11
Jobs & Income (0–15)
+11
Liquidity (0–10)
+6
Hype Penalty (penalty)
-3
POLICY DELTA+2pts
TOTAL63
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