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SUBURB DETAIL — HOUSES ONLY

Moranbah

QLDTIER 3KNOWNPositiveMid
SCORE
63/100
POLICY
▲ STRONG UPGRADE
Market Metrics
Gross Yield
8.5%
Rent Growth
+5%
Price Growth
+7%
Vacancy
1.5%
Median Price
$380k
Weekly Rent
$620
Population
9k
Income Level
High
NG Dependence
None
Rank
#18
Cashflow — 80% LVR @ 6.5% (indicative)
Annual Rent
$32,240
Annual Interest
$19,760
Net Pre-Costs
+$12,480
NG Needed?
No
Rent Projection at 5% annual growth
YEARWEEKLY RENTANNUAL RENTVS INTERESTCF STATUS
Now$620/wk$32,240+$12,480POSITIVE
Year 1$651/wk$33,852+$14,092POSITIVE
Year 2$684/wk$35,545+$15,785POSITIVE
Year 3$718/wk$37,322+$17,562POSITIVE
Year 4$754/wk$39,188+$19,428POSITIVE
Investment Signal

8.5% house yield at $380k = massively positive cashflow. Budget policy strongly positive. Winchester South mine expansion provides multi-year employment anchor.

Risk / Warning

HIGH RISK: Single industry (metallurgical coal). Global steel demand directly drives town fortunes. Known to sophisticated investors — hype penalty maximum. Maximum 5% portfolio allocation.

Budget Policy Impact

8.5% yield = massively CF positive. NG was never needed. Budget changes are positive on paper but this market needs monitoring for commodity cycle, not tax policy.

Economic Catalysts
Bowen Basin metallurgical coal (Anglo American Grosvenor, Whitehaven Winchester South)BHP Mitsubishi Alliance
Score Breakdown — 63/100
Yield (0–25)
+24
Rent Growth (0–15)
+9
Price Lag (0–20)
+12
Supply (0–15)
+10
Jobs & Income (0–15)
+11
Liquidity (0–10)
+6
Hype Penalty (penalty)
-9
POLICY DELTA+6pts
TOTAL63
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