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SUBURB DETAIL — HOUSES ONLY

Moe / Newborough

VICTIER 1UNKNOWNPositiveEarlyNEW BUILD ELIGIBLE ✓
SCORE
92/100
POLICY
▲ STRONG UPGRADE
Market Metrics
Gross Yield
6.4%
Rent Growth
+6%
Price Growth
+5.1%
Vacancy
0.9%
Median Price
$380k
Weekly Rent
$470
Population
16k
Income Level
Low-Med
NG Dependence
None
Rank
#1
Cashflow — 80% LVR @ 6.5% (indicative)
Annual Rent
$24,440
Annual Interest
$19,760
Net Pre-Costs
+$4,680
NG Needed?
No
Rent Projection at 6% annual growth
YEARWEEKLY RENTANNUAL RENTVS INTERESTCF STATUS
Now$470/wk$24,440+$4,680POSITIVE
Year 1$498/wk$25,906+$6,146POSITIVE
Year 2$528/wk$27,461+$7,701POSITIVE
Year 3$560/wk$29,108+$9,348POSITIVE
Year 4$593/wk$30,855+$11,095POSITIVE
Investment Signal

Highest conviction — 6.4% house yield at $380k = strongly positive cashflow. Budget policy renders negative gearing IRRELEVANT here. New builds in Morwell corridor still NG-eligible for adjacent buyers. Keppel data centre catalyst completely unpriced.

Risk / Warning

Long DOM ~145d in some Latrobe pockets; micro-suburb selection critical; avoid Morwell social housing streets; verify SQM postcode-level vacancy before transacting

Budget Policy Impact

6.4% yield at $380k = ~$24.4k annual rent vs ~$19.8k annual interest (80% LVR, 6.5% rate) = $4,600 POSITIVE cashflow. Negative gearing is irrelevant. New builds in Morwell precinct retain unlimited NG. CGT indexation perfectly suits long-hold income strategy. Defence spending adds $14B to employer base in region.

Economic Catalysts
Keppel $10B AI data hub (announced)Latrobe energy transitionMarinus Link $5B+Paper/power sector
Score Breakdown — 92/100
Yield (0–25)
+22
Rent Growth (0–15)
+13
Price Lag (0–20)
+18
Supply (0–15)
+14
Jobs & Income (0–15)
+12
Liquidity (0–10)
+7
Hype Penalty (penalty)
0
POLICY DELTA+7pts
TOTAL92
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