Geelong

VICTier 3KnownNegativeMid
47
/100
Policy
▼ DOWNGRADED
Rank #26

Geelong at $904k reflects the Melbourne proximity premium and post-pandemic lifestyle migration run. Deakin University, Barwon Health, NDIS growth, and logistics employment anchor the economy after the Ford closure in 2016. At 3.3% gross yield, cashflow is strongly negative at standard LVR. VIC state land tax changes add holding cost pressure. Investment case relies on Melbourne-correlated capital growth rather than income.

Data noticeMarket metrics: 2026·Metrics are progressively reviewed and refreshed
Gross Yield
3.31%
Rent Growth
+3.8%
Price Growth
+2.1%
Vacancy
1.6%
Median Price
$904k
Weekly Rent
$575
Population
270k
Income Level
Med
NG Dependence
High
National Rank
#26

Geelong's cashflow model depends significantly on negative gearing deductibility. Under proposed 2026 budget changes restricting NG on existing residential property purchases from July 2027, investors in this market face increased holding costs unless rents grow materially before the proposed commencement date. Verify the legislative status and your specific position with a registered tax adviser before transacting.

80% LVR at 6.5% interest. Indicative only.
Annual Rent
$29,900
Annual Interest
$47,008
Net Pre-Costs
$-17,108
NG Required?
Yes
At 3.8% annual rent growth. Model estimate only.
PeriodWeekly rentAnnual rentvs. InterestStatus
Now$575/wk$29,900$-17,108Near-pos
Year 1$597/wk$31,036$-15,972Near-pos
Year 2$620/wk$32,216$-14,792Near-pos
Year 3$643/wk$33,440$-13,568Near-pos
Year 4$668/wk$34,710$-12,298Near-pos

Geelong at $904k reflects the Melbourne proximity premium and post-pandemic lifestyle migration run. Deakin University, Barwon Health, NDIS growth, and logistics employment anchor the economy after the Ford closure in 2016. At 3.3% gross yield, cashflow is strongly negative at standard LVR. VIC state land tax changes add holding cost pressure. Investment case relies on Melbourne-correlated capital growth rather than income.

Strongly negative cashflow. High NG dependence. VIC land tax changes add a holding cost layer on top of the cashflow gap. Melbourne market sentiment influences Geelong prices, adding correlation risk. Population growth has moderated post-pandemic. Data vintage 2026. Source: realestate.com.au median house. Verify independently before transacting.

3.3% yield at $904k = $29,900 annual rent vs $47,008 annual interest (80% LVR, 6.5%) = -$17,108 pre-cost. Strongly negative gearing dependent. VIC land tax adds to holding costs for investors with multiple properties.

Barwon Health — major regional health employerDeakin University — student and staff rental demandNDIS service delivery growth — care worker demand
47 / 100
Rental yield signal
+9
Rental momentum
+8
Yield vs. price spread
+13
Supply tightness
+6
Economic fundamentals
+8
Market liquidity
+10
Discovery discount
-7
Policy adjustment+-4pts
Total score47

Benchmark Geelong against up to 3 other suburbs side-by-side.

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Last reviewedJune 2026
Data vintage2026
ConfidenceHigh
StatusVerified

Model estimates only. Not financial advice. Verify independently.

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