| YEAR | WEEKLY RENT | ANNUAL RENT | VS INTEREST | CF STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | $530/wk | $27,560 | +$520 | POSITIVE |
| Year 1 | $567/wk | $29,462 | +$2,422 | POSITIVE |
| Year 2 | $606/wk | $31,494 | +$4,454 | POSITIVE |
| Year 3 | $647/wk | $33,668 | +$6,628 | POSITIVE |
| Year 4 | $692/wk | $35,991 | +$8,951 | POSITIVE |
0.11% vacancy is the most extreme supply signal in this entire scan. Rent +6.9% vs price +3% — widest rent-to-price divergence in Tasmania. Near-positive on houses. NG not required. Budget policy neutral-to-positive for near-positive hold.
Houses at $520k = near-positive not strongly positive; slight NG benefit exists; new build pipeline very limited in Burnie; select Acton/Shorewell Park over Burnie Centre for SES quality
5.3% yield at $520k = ~$27.6k rent vs ~$27k interest = breakeven to slightly positive. The 0.11% vacancy is the real story — this market will tighten rent further regardless of policy. Low NG dependence means the July 2027 changes have minimal impact.